Epidemiology’s coverage of dry eye disease (DED) comprises epidemiological estimates of key patient populations in the major mature pharmaceutical markets (the United States, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and Japan). We report the prevalence of DED for each country, as well as annualized case counts projected to the national population. Patient populations are forecast over a period of 20 years.

DRG Epidemiology’s DED forecast will answer the following questions:

  • Of all people with DED, how many in each of the major mature pharmaceutical markets have been formally diagnosed?
  • Of all people diagnosed with DED, how many in each of the major mature pharmaceutical markets have mild, moderate, or severe disease?
  • How will demographic trends, such as population aging and improving life expectancy, affect the epidemiology of DED over the forecast period?

All forecast data are available on the DRG Insights Platform in tabular format, with options to download to MS Excel. All populations are accompanied by a comprehensive description of the methods and data sources used, with hyperlinks to external sources. A summary evidence table generated as part of our systematic review of the epidemiological literature is also provided for full transparency into research and methods.

In addition to the total number of cases for each forecast year, DRG Epidemiology provides at least ten years of forecast data for the following DED subpopulations:

  • Diagnosed mild, moderate, and severe DED.

Note: Coverage may vary by country.

Table of contents

  • Dry Eye - Epidemiology - Mature Markets Data
    • Introduction
      • Key Findings
      • Diagnosed Prevalence of Dry Eye Disease per 100 People Aged 20+ in 2018 and 2038
      • Relative Sizes of the Contributing Factors to the Trend in Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Dry Eye Disease over the Next 20 Years
      • Analysis of Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Dry Eye Disease in 2018 by Severity
    • Methods
      • Total Prevalent Cases
      • Diagnosed Prevalent Cases
      • Diagnosed Prevalent Cases by Severity
      • Drug-Treated Prevalent Cases
    • Epidemiology Data
    • Reference Materials
      • Literature Review
        • Studies Included in the Analysis of Dry Eye Disease
        • Studies Excluded from the Analysis of Dry Eye Disease
      • Risk/Protective Factors
        • Risk/Protective Factors for Dry Eye Disease
      • Bibliography

Author(s): Fjoralba Kristo, MD, MPH

Fjoralba Kristo has expertise in forecasting infectious diseases and chronic diseases in both the mature and global markets. She has extensive academic experience with quantitative and qualitative research methods.

Prior to joining Decision Resources Group, she completed a postdoctoral fellowship at University of Kentucky, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, and more recently worked as Research Scientist at Massachusetts General Hospital, where she investigated mechanisms of inflammation in cardiovascular diseases. Fjoralba holds an MPH degree from Boston University School of Public Health, concentrating in Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and a medical degree from University of Medicine, Bucharest, Romania.