DRG Epidemiology's coverage of chronic low back pain (CLBP) comprises epidemiological estimates of key patient populations across 45 countries worldwide. We report the prevalence of CLBP for each country, as well as annualized case counts projected to the national population.

Most patient populations are forecast over a period of 20 years for the major mature pharmaceutical markets of the United States, Europe and Japan, and 10 years for the other countries covered in this report.

DRG Epidemiology's CLBP forecast will answer the following questions:

  • Of all people with CLBP, how many in each country across the major mature pharmaceutical markets have been formally diagnosed?
  • How will demographic trends, such as population aging and improving life expectancy, affect the epidemiology of CLBP over the forecast period?

All forecast data are available on the DRG Insights Platform in tabular format, with options to download to MS Excel. All populations are accompanied by a comprehensive description of the methods and data sources used, with hyperlinks to external sources. A summary evidence table generated as part of our systematic review of the epidemiological literature is also provided for full transparency into research and methods.

In addition to the total number of cases for each forecast year, DRG Epidemiology also provides at least ten years of forecast data for the following chronic low back pain subpopulations:

  • Diagnosed prevalent cases.
  • Undiagnosed prevalent cases.

Note: Coverage may vary by country.

Last updated: March 2018

Table of contents

  • Chronic Low Back Pain - Epidemiology - Americas Data
    • Introduction
      • Key Findings
      • Total Prevalence of Chronic Low Back Pain per 100 People Aged 20+ in 2018 and 2028
      • Relative Sizes of the Contributing Factors to the Trend in Total Prevalent Cases of Chronic Low Back Pain Over the Next Ten Years
      • Analysis of Total Prevalent Cases of Chronic Low Back Pain by Diagnosis Status
    • Epidemiology Data
    • Methods
      • Total Prevalence
      • Percentage Diagnosed
      • Percentage Drug-Treated
    • Reference Materials
      • Literature Review
        • Studies Included in the Analysis of Chronic Low Back Pain
        • Studies Excluded from the Analysis of Chronic Low Back Pain
      • Risk/Protective Factors
        • Risk/Protective Factors for Chronic Low Back Pain
      • Bibliography

Author(s): Mudasir Khan, M.P.H.; Abey John, MPH

Mudasir works as an associate epidemiologist within the epidemiology team at Decision Resources Group. He specializes in developing epidemiological forecasts for multiple indications within the DRG syndicated portfolio.

Mudasir holds a masters in public health specializing in epidemiology from TISS, Mumbai.

Abey John is a medical graduate with a Master’s in Public Health and has been associated with DRG since September 2015. He works with a global team of epidemiologists in performing systematic reviews of assigned diseases and prepare forecast models for clients. He also is involved in producing analyses for pharmaceutical drug developers on the descriptive epidemiology of major drug indications in mature and developing markets and have an overall experience of three years working in different healthcare sectors across the country.

Prior to joining DRG, Abey had been working with Jhpiego (an affiliate of Johns Hopkins Medical University) in implementing Family Planning Health Programs in India with collaborating with the Government of India. He also has worked with a grassroots level NGO as a health team manager which worked for the benefit of the rural population living in the foothills of the Himalayas.


Related Reports

Chronic Pain - Landscape & Forecast - Disease Landscape & Forecast

A crowded generics market makes gaining a strong foothold in the treatment of chronic pain challenging for branded agents. The treatment of chronic pain involves the use of drugs from several drug...

View Details

Rheumatoid Arthritic Pain - Epidemiology - Mature Markets

DRG Epidemiology's coverage of rheumatoid arthritic pain comprises epidemiological estimates of key patient populations across the major mature pharmaceutical markets (the United States, France...

View Details

Rheumatoid Arthritic Pain - Epidemiology - Europe

DRG Epidemiology's coverage of rheumatoid arthritic pain comprises epidemiological estimates of key patient populations across the major mature pharmaceutical markets (the United States, France...

View Details