About DRG Epidemiology

DRG’s Epidemiology provides bottom-up, patient-level forecasts, detailing disease trends from 10- to 20-year outlook periods to help you validate investments and identify growth opportunities in your markets of interest.

All of our epidemiological data, methods and insight are distributed via DRG’s Insights Platform, allowing the user to easily navigate between world regions and patient populations, as well as download epidemiological forecast data into an MS Excel format for offline use.

All epidemiological forecasts may be supplemented with custom deliverables, such as:

  • Chart reviews or more granular stratification using DRG’s in-house real world datasets or physician survey data
  • Customized and interactive patient flow models or additional subpopulations or metrics
  • Expanded geographical coverage or extended forecast periods beyond those available

Coverage

Our robust patient population sizing data includes therapeutic coverage of 140+ indications and 3400+ patient subpopulations, including extensive oncology subpopulation data by stage, line of therapy, and biomarker, as well as continually expanding niche and rare disease coverage.

The geographic breadth of data includes mature market (G7) reporting for all 140+ indications, as well as 90% global population coverage for the high-profile diseases, and expanded penetration for emerging and rest-of-world markets in select indications.

Methods

For over 20 years, our data and methodology have been developed and refined by DRG’s Epidemiology team of industry-leading subject matter experts, driven by rigorous methodology to uncover the impact of exposure, risk, and treatment, in addition to historical trends and age and gender cohorts.

All of our epidemiological forecasts are accompanied by a transparent description of our methods and data sources, the details of our systematic review underlying each forecast and associated summary evidence tables, and access to the authoring epidemiologist.

Table of contents

  • Mature Markets Data
    • Introduction
      • Key Findings
      • Overview
        • Event Rate of Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia per 1,000 Among People of All Ages in 2018 and 2028
        • Relative Sizes of the Factors Contributing to the Trend in Events of Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia over the Next Ten Years
    • Epidemiology Data
    • Methods
      • Diagnosed Inpatient and Outpatient Events
      • Diagnosed Inpatient Events
      • Diagnosed Outpatient Events
      • Percentage Drug-Treated
    • Reference Materials
      • Literature Review
      • Risk/Protective Factors
      • Bibliography

Author(s): Fjoralba Kristo, MD, MPH; Lade Ayodele

Fjoralba Kristo has expertise in forecasting infectious diseases and chronic diseases in both the mature and global markets. She has extensive academic experience with quantitative and qualitative research methods. Prior to joining Decision Resources Group, she completed a postdoctoral fellowship at University of Kentucky, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, and more recently worked as Research Scientist at Massachusetts General Hospital, where she investigated mechanisms of inflammation in cardiovascular diseases. Fjoralba holds an MPH degree from Boston University School of Public Health, concentrating in Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and a medical degree from University of Medicine, Bucharest, Romania.

Dr. Ayodele has expertise in forecasting disease populations and is an epidemiology expert in chronic diseases including cancers and cardiovascular diseases, in both the major and emerging pharmaceutical markets. Prior to joining Decision Resources Group, she researched antiretroviral therapy funding, availability and access at the Clinton Foundation Center for Strategic HIV Operations Research. More recently, she was a Medical Innovation and Leadership fellow at Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts, where she researched and developed strategic plans on health care utilization and quality improvement. Dr. Ayodele holds a Master in Public Health degree (quantitative methods concentration) from Harvard and a medical degree from the University of Ibadan in Nigeria. She is currently pursuing a in epidemiology at Boston University School of Public Health with a focus in pharmacoepidemiology.