DRG’s Extrapolated Worldwide Coverage is the first and only evidence-based data set of epidemiological forecasts for key Acute myeloid leukemia patient populations covering 171 countries and more than 99% of the global population, delivered in an interactive dashboard-style download.

Use the Extrapolated Worldwide Coverage dashboard to do the following:

  • View 10-year forecasts of the first-line drug-treatable population and diagnosed incident cases for all 171 countries, stratified by region and World Bank income status.
  • Aggregate country-level estimates into region-level estimates, according to user preference or as required by regulators for orphan drug designations.
  • Visualize global correlations between disease risk or patient population size and key indicators of market opportunity such as GDP per capita and healthcare spend per capita.
  • Generate and export global heat maps of disease risk or patient population size.

The Extrapolated Worldwide Coverage dashboard is available as an Excel file in the “Downloads” section. It is available for purchase by clients who subscribe to all 45 countries covered by DRG Epidemiology. For subscription and entitlement queries, please contact questions@teamdrg.com.

Table of contents

  • Extrapolated Worldwide Coverage
    • Extrapolated Worldwide Coverage
      • Introduction
      • Download
      • The Global Extrapolator Model
      • The Global Extrapolation Algorithm
      • Bibliography

Author(s): Mike Hughes, MSc, PhD; Atul Sharma, MPH

Mike joined Decision Resources as an epidemiologist in 2006. He has many years’ experience in the mathematical modeling of healthcare service delivery, cardiovascular and cancer epidemiology, biostatistics, meta-analysis and systematic reviewing. He has been principal author on many published articles in leading international journals in the areas of risk modeling in intensive care and cardiovascular medicine. He has also been responsible for developing national guidelines on behalf of NICE and the American College of Chest Physicians for the treatment of atrial fibrillation, stroke and hypertension. He is particularly interested in modeling patient flows in cancer and methods for forecasting disease burden in non-communicable epidemiology. Dr. Hughes received his in risk modeling in intensive care in 2003 from City University, London and is currently enrolled in a program in statistical causation and foundations of probability theory at the University of Nottingham.

Atul Sharma started working in Decision Resources Group as an intern in early 2016 and currently works as an associate epidemiologist. He performs fully documented systematic reviews of both published and grey literature on the epidemiology of assigned diseases and their risk factors to estimate incidence/prevalence over a 10-30 year period. He produces analyses for pharmaceutical drug developers on the descriptive epidemiology of major drug indications in mature and developing markets. He holds a Master’s in Public Health degree from School of Public Health, Post-Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research and a Bachelor’s in dental surgery from MN DAV Dental College & Hospital.


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