Over the next six decades prevalent cases of diseases that are some of the most commercially important opportunities for drug developers will peak and then decline. Germany, Japan, and Russia will be the first markets to experience a peak in cases of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), major depressive disorder (MDD), age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and Alzheimer’s disease.
In this report, we examine trends in key commercial disease markets of Brazil, urban China, Germany, Japan, Russia, and the United States. Population size, demographics, and disease risk interact to determine the size of afflicted populations and the occurrence of peak cases. Opportunities for drug developers rise and fall with disease population trends.
Markets covered: Brazil, urban China, Germany, Japan, Russia, and the United States.
Demographic data: Percentage of populations aged 80 or older; Population estimates, 2012, 2042, 2072.
Epidemiology: Alzheimer's disease prevalent cases peaking in Germany, Japan, and Russia; case counts of acute coronary syndrome and Alzheimer’s disease in urban China; trends in prevalent cases in diseases of old versus young in Germany, 2012-2032; asthma total prevalent cases, 2012 to 2032; MDD total prevalent cases, 2012-2072; trends in Alzheimer’s disease total prevalent cases; trends in COPD total prevalent cases; trends in AMD total prevalent cases.