BURLINGTON, Mass., Oct. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- Decision Resources, one of the world's leading research and advisory firms for pharmaceutical and healthcare issues finds that the non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) drug market will increase from approximately $4 billion in 2009 to more than $6.5 billion in 2019 in the United States, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom and Japan.
The Pharmacor 2010 findings from the topic entitled Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer reveal that market growth will be driven by the increased uptake of Eli Lilly's Alimta and Genentech/OSI Pharmaceuticals/Roche/Chugai's Tarceva as well as the launches of premium-priced emerging therapies which include Sanofi-Aventis's iniparib, Boehringer Ingelheim's BIBW-2992 and Pfizer's crizotinib.
In 2009, antimetabolites dominated the NSCLC market with Alimta accounting for nearly three-quarters of sales within this drug class. Owing primarily to the generic erosion of Alimta and competition from emerging therapies, the market share of antimetabolites will decline. By 2019, the antimetabolites market share will be reduced to 24 percent, making it the second-largest drug class in NSCLC, while the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitor class will garner a market share of 26 percent.
"The NSCLC drug market will continue to move toward personalized medicine through 2019, resulting in an increasingly fragmented market," said Decision Resources Analyst Janie Cox, Ph.D. "Treatments are becoming tailored to histology and clinical and molecular characteristics and targeted agents will have—at best—a modest patient share. However, their premium prices will ensure that they will garner significant market share."
The findings also reveal that in 2009, Alimta and Tarceva and Roche/Genentech/Chugai's Avastin were the leading therapies in NSCLC, capturing nearly two-thirds of overall sales. Through 2019, Alimta and Tarceva—which are increasingly being used in the first-line setting, and also as maintenance therapies—will continue to dominate the market, as will Avastin, which will maintain steady uptake.
About Pharmacor 2010
The newly redesigned Pharmacor advisory service offers clients in the biopharmaceutical industry the most up-to-date information available on commercially significant disease topics.
About Pharmacor Patient Flow Models
By utilizing our proprietary Pharmacor epidemiological data, Decision Resources now provides Pharmacor Patient Flow Models covering non-small cell lung cancer, prostate cancer and pancreatic cancer. Using Pharmacor Patient Flow Models, users can build their own oncology patient flow model and/or validate the logic behind their own internal models. This interactive tool allows users to track changing disease and population dynamics over a 15-year annualized forecast, improve their modeling accuracy with clearly depicted methods and transparent assumptions and identify untapped market potential within lines of therapy. Pharmacor Patient Flow Models is available as an add-on product to the Pharmacor advisory service.
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